One of my favorite reference sites during the playoffs is whowins.com. It's a site that reviews historical results in all best-of-seven playoff series across the sports spectrum and breaks things down by specific sport and by round. Here is a look at what whowins.com has to say about tonight's pivotal matchup between Milwaukee and Boston, which could very well end up being the Bucks' final game at the BMO Harris Bradley Center.
From whowins.com:
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-2:Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 3-games-2 irrespective of site order (Boston) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Finals:series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 625-158 (.798)series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 178-44 (.802)series record, NBA only, all rounds: 251-45 (.848)series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 55-9 (.859)Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 431-352 (.550)Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 133-89 (.599)Game 6 record, NBA only, all rounds: 168-128 (.568)Game 6 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 41-23 (.641)These records are drawn from the applicable 1352 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-2 @ HHVVH:Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 3-games-2 with site order HHVVH (Boston) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Finals:series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 324-58 (.848)series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 107-21 (.836)series record, NBA only, all rounds: 146-13 (.918)series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 34-2 (.944)Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 203-179 (.531)Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 76-52 (.594)Game 6 record, NBA only, all rounds: 86-73 (.541)Game 6 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 24-12 (.667)These records are drawn from the applicable 1352 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WWLLW:Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WWLLW irrespective of site order (Boston) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Finals:series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 108-14 (.885)series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 27-3 (.900)series record, NBA only, all rounds: 53-4 (.930)series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 11-1 (.917)Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 78-44 (.639)Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 23-7 (.767)Game 6 record, NBA only, all rounds: 34-23 (.596)Game 6 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 9-3 (.750)These records are drawn from the applicable 1352 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WWLLW @ HHVVH:Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WWLLW with site order HHVVH (Boston) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 MLB Finals:series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 93-13 (.877)series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 26-3 (.897)series record, NBA only, all rounds: 48-4 (.923)series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 11-1 (.917)Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 66-40 (.623)Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 22-7 (.759)Game 6 record, NBA only, all rounds: 31-21 (.596)Game 6 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 9-3 (.750)These records are drawn from the applicable 1352 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2017 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
SERIES NOTES:After Game 5: The Boston Celtics hosted and defeated the Milwaukee Bucks 92-pts-87 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1369 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 38-3 and a Game 6 record of 21-20. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 1-11 with an active four-series losing streak and a Game 6 record of 6-6. The sole Milwaukee series victory upon trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-2 occurred in series 839, in which the Bucks defeated the Charlotte Hornets (I) 4-games-3 in the 2001 NBA Quarterfinals.After Game 4: The Milwaukee Bucks hosted and defeated the Boston Celtics 104-pts-102 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1369 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 31-12 and a Game 5 record of 31-12, while the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 3-9 with an active four-series losing streak and a Game 5 record of 4-8.